Randwick Race 7 – Gytrash
2020 Everest placegetter. 2nd up.
First-up after four months 3rd of 8 (tactics queried; held up concluding stages; not fully tested)
at this track in the G2 The Shorts on September 18 over 1100m, slow going 1.4 len behind Eduardo carrying 58kg at $10.
Previously second-up raced behind the speed prior to fading 12th of 15 (raced three wide; checked near 300m; lame)
at Eagle Farm in the G1 K-Smith Cup on May 29 over 1300m, 2.75 len behind Vega One carrying 59kg at $6. Ran a cracker fresh. Respect.
Race 7, 1200m
Nature Strip (4.20) (in below tweet)
The six-time Group 1 winner polarises opinion and will be lining up for his third crack at this having finished seventh last year and fourth back in 2019.
A mixed build-up has seen him ease through the Concorde before being upstaged by Eduardo in The Shorts where he didn’t jump altogether cleanly.
Those two will likely go hammer and tongs at it again and while he’s bounced back from defeats in style in the past, he looks vulnerable here.
Happy to work around him.
Classique Legend (4.60) (in below video)
Aiming to join Redzel as a two-time Everest winner, the grey returned into the care of Les Bridge mid-year following an ill-fated stint in Hong Kong.
Less than satisfied with his initial trial, the octogenarian aborted plans to send him to the races in favour of additional trial work and his most recent outing suggested he is right on track.
With an ideal draw he should get every chance but just felt one or two might be better than him on the day.
Eduardo (5.50) (in below tweet)
Joe Pride has done a super job with this horse, now a regular winner at black-type level since his move up to Sydney during the winter of 2020.
A distinguished record on rain-affected ground and the fact he isn’t as deep into his preparation, as was the case 12 months ago where he only beat one runner home, are ticks in his favour and Nash Rawiller has partnered the horse in both of his Group 1 wins.
In this up to his ears and a worthy inclusion in multiples.
Gytrash (8.00) (in below tweet)
Well supported since Tuesday’s barrier draw saw him land the rails, the chestnut has been a measure of consistency throughout his career and will be looking to improve on last year’s third placed effort.
His lead-in run in The Shorts was strong and should give connections confidence, with Jason Collett sending the horse to the line untested having been tightened for room in the concluding stages.
Should be comfortable in the going and he’s my tip to take this out.
Amongst the last horses to have his participation confirmed, the bay has run credible races in the past two Everests but is now winless in 10 starts.
The fact that trainer James Cummings has described a top three finish as an attainable goal implies a belief that the horse just isn’t quite good enough.
He’ll run okay but others are preferred.
Masked Crusader (9.00) (in below tweet)
Two booming last-to-first wins this campaign have been sandwiched by a fifth placing in The Shorts where he spotted some topline sprinters an enormous start and couldn’t make up the ground.
Therein lies the rub.
The speed battle up front could potentially play into his hands but fair to say he’s not the most reliable out of the stalls and his racing pattern lends itself to some frustrating outcomes at times.
Leaving him out.
Wild Ruler (51.00)
Notched a maiden Group 1 in the Moir Stakes last time out and goes well around this circuit but he needs dry ground to produce his best and won’t get that here.
The Inferno (26.00)
Ex-Singapore galloper who built up a strong record in the city-state and has acquitted himself well since arriving in Australia.
Ridden more conservatively at his past two starts and has finished off well both times, with an unfavourable draw likely consigning him to similar tactics here.
He looks a capable horse but hard to recommend in a field of this calibre.
The stable are having a successful spring carnival but won’t trouble the scorers with this gelding, a late inclusion who is rightfully at long odds.
Lost And Running (21.00) (in below tweet)
Boom horse who worked through the grades in style during the autumn but has been found wanting when matched against some of the horses he will oppose on Saturday.
He should get a nice run from the draw but remains unproven at this level.
The only mare in the field, she tackles this fresh but her trials have been underwhelming and difficult to get enthused about her chances.
Home Affairs (11.00) (in below tweet)
Waller and Boss combined to win this with another 3YO in Yes Yes Yes back in 2019 and must have high hopes of being able to repeat the dose with this colt, who looks to have come on significantly judging by his thumping win in the Heritage Stakes three weeks ago.
Suspect he is up to this level and expecting a bold showing.
Zoutori (3.40, 1.40)
Race 6, 1400m
Zoutori in the 1400m looks well weighted, I know he’s got 60 but the scale is to his advantage.
1400m don’t be bothered by that, he’s a horse that’s already won over a mile as well, so the extra distance is not going to bother him.
He does love Caulfield, should get a lovely run, obviously Linda Meech riding in super form so I thought he is a really good bet, weather permitting.
Rhapsody Rose (3.90, 1.60)
Race 8, 1400m
Rhapsody Rose has again drawn the outside gate which has become the norm for her.
She’s had 3 runs this time in, we’ve accepted 4, and she’s drawn the outside gate every time.
She has the services of Ryan Maloney and hopefully he can overcome that with a big weight on this back again, she’s got 59, the penalty you pay in Queensland when you win a good race as a young horse.
She’ll be basically crucified in the handicaps for the rest of her career, this is her case in point.
I’m just hopeful Ryan is able to roll forward and put her on the speed, she’s a very tough mare, she’s a good few weeks work since the last start which I didn’t think was a bad run.
I think she just left a bit flat footed when a bit further, so have no issues taking her to the races on Saturday.
In my opinion, I think she’s in the right race.
As at Thursday morning the track is soft 6, some rain later today and a solid dump of rain due Friday.
Showers again Saturday, and wind from the W/SW.
Hard to imagine we are on anything better than a Soft6 and highly likely closer to a Heavy8.
A card full of depth and looking forward to some outstanding racing.
Race 9, 2400m
It’s hard not to be excited by this race.
I don’t think there’s a heap of pressure here and expecting an average tempo.
Incentivise (2.50) (in below tweet) the fave and deservedly so, he had a soft tempo fresh and got in when underdone, but next go he got taken right on and still fought them off.
He will be forward and the one they need to get past.
Delphi (7.50) (in below tweet) the main danger and he too should be forward, I think the rain helps him and he was very impressive last Saturday when ensuring he got a run here, at the early prices I’d side with him.
Young Werther (11.00) was strong in the Turnbull and while he meets the fave slightly worse off at the weights I’d suggest it’s near immaterial.
Nonconformist (12.00) next best and I doubt the wet slows him up, I just thought he and Young Werther had a trickier map than the other two.
I think Persan (26.00) is the best of those at a price, I can forgive last time after being very good fresh and the rain helps him.
Race 4, 2000m
This Tavistock filly made a good debut at Geelong with tempo against before going to Kyneton and demolishing an ordinary lot in decisive fashion to get her maiden out of the way.
Speed looks strong here and she should be able to get in a nice spot and a chance to further establish her Oaks credentials.
The dangers are likely to emerge from the Edward Manifold where there wasn’t a lot between Adele Amour (15.00), Daisies (10.00), Stalking (8.50) and Glint Of Hope (9.00), and I have to respect the Thousand Guineas quinella emerged from there.
I think this filly has some quality and is the one they all need to beat.
Race 3, 1400m
I’m expecting some reasonable pressure here.
Prince Alexander (7.50) was dominant fresh on the back of some terrific work on the jump out circuit, he went to the Bill Stutt next against key rival here in Sandy Prince (3.60), I thought he was ridden out of his comfort zone there for the pattern and that told late.
I’m expecting a more conservative ride in this race and I think he’s worth another chance and represents some value.
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