Melbourne Cup Analysis & Tips

Melbourne Cup Analysis & Tips

Horses: Cross Counter | Mer De Glace | Master Of Reality | Mirage Dancer | Southern France | Hunting Horn | Latrobe | Mustajeer | Rostropovich | Twilight Payment | Finche | Prince Of Arran | Raymond Tusk | Downdraft | Magic Wand | Neufbosc | Sound | Surprise Baby | Constantinople | Il Paradiso | Steel Prince | The Chosen One | Vow And Declare | Youngstar

Cross Counter Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Cross Counter Silks 1. Cross Counter (5) – 57.5kg GB British Flag
T: Charlie Appleby    J: James Doyle

$13

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Last year’s Melbourne Cup winner looks poised to be hard to beat again in the 2019 edition of the race. Cross Counter lined up in last years race as a lightly-raced, accomplished overseas performer. He ultimately won the 3200m feature by a length, showing a strong turn of foot from the back of the field to win by a length margin. Note that the horse was first-up last year and will be repeating that tactic in the 2019 Melbourne Cup. Read more

Mer De Glace Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Mer De Glace Silks 2. Mer De Glace (2) – 56kg JPN Japanese Flag
T: Hisashi Shimizu    J: Damien Lane

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The 2019 Caulfield Cup winner. This talented Japenese galloper shot to near the top of the Melbourne Cup betting markets after a superb win in the Caulfield Cup last start. That performance earned this horse a 1kg penalty and he will now carry 56kg in the Melbourne Cup which might concern some punters. Mer De Glace holds an impressive record of 8 wins and 7 placings from 18 starts. The five year old has won his last six races in a row and appears to be hitting his prime now. Read more

Master Of Reality Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Master Of Reality Silks 3. Master Of Reality (1) – 55.5kg IRE Irish Flag
T: Joseph O’Brien    J: Frankie Dettori

$16

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This lightly raced five-year-old stallion is owned by six-time Melbourne Cup winning owner Lloyd Williams and his son Nick Williams. Master Of Reality was originally meant to travel down to Australia for the 2018 Melbourne Cup but poor form and some health issues caused those plans to be cancelled. That could possibly have been a blessing in disguise as the horse has really furnished into a quality stayer. Read more

Mirage Dancer Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Mirage Dancer Silks 4. Mirage Dancer (13) – 55.5kg GB UK Flag
T: Trent Busuttin and Natalie Young    J: Ben Melham

$31

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Mirage Dancer is a six-year-old British import who arrived in Australia as an accomplished overseas performer and is now trained by the Busuttin and Young duo. The son of Frankel has spent most of his career competing in stakes grade and has accumulated a number of top three finishes over his career. As a young horse, Mirage Dancer placed behind Benbabtl who is a horse Australian racing fans are familiar with as he ran 2nd to the Winx in the 2018 Cox Plate. He also placed behind Cracksman in a Group race who was once the highest rated horse in the world. Read more

Southern France Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Southern France Silks 5. Southern France (14) – 55.5kg IRE Irish Flag
T: Ciaron Maher and David Eustace    J: Mark Zahra

$26

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Irish import Southern France has recently joined the Cairon Maher and David Eustace camp for a Melbourne Cup assault. This five-year-old stallion is relatively lightly-raced and is a winner of 3 races to date. Formerly trained by Aidan O’Brien, Southern France competed in some every high quality races back in Europe, including last start in the Group 1 Irish St Ledger where he managed to place 3rd behind Search For A Song. Note that this race has been a traditional pathway for international horses on a Melbourne Cup campaign. Read more

Hunting Horn Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Hunting Horn Silks 6. Hunting Horn (11) – 55kg IRE New Zealand Flag
T:Aidan O’Brien   J: Seamie Hefferman

$31

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A five year old well travelled and seasoned horse who broke a long run of outs when saluting in the Group 2 Moonee Valley Gold Cup recently at his first start in Australia. Before that he hadn’t won in over 10 starts but did recently place 4th twice in high-rating Group 1 races overseas. His best performance prior to landing in Australia came in the Group 3 Hampton Court Stakes at Royal Ascot, which he won by a margin of four and a half lengths. Read more

Latrobe Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Latrobe Silks 7. Latrobe (22) – 55kg IRE Irish Flag
T: Joseph O’Brien    J: James McDonald

$21

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An Irish Derby winner. This five-year-old stallion trained by Joseph O’Brien looked to be a genuine contender for last year’s Melbourne Cup but unfortunately circumstances derailed his campaign and he wasn’t fit to contest the race that stops the nation. Instead he contested the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes over 2000m where he finished 2nd behind Trap For Fools, beaten a head margin. Read more

Mustajeer Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Mustajeer Silks 8. Mustajeer (6) – 55kg GB British Flag
T: Kris Lees    J: Damien Oliver

$18

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Mustajeer profiles as a genuine top five and winning chance for The Melbourne Cup. Last start the horse contested the Group 1 Caulfield Cup finishing 6th, charging home to make up a stack of ground in the straight. That was an encouraging debut Australia and this should take natural improvement from that run and be more suited at Flemington. Prior to joining Kris Lees, Mustajeer has a Listed win to his name, and has placed in esteemed Group 1 staying events such as the Group 1 Tattersalls Gold Cup (200m) and the Vintage Crop Stakes (2816m). Read more

Rostropovich Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Rostropovich Silks 9. Rostropovich (12) – 55kg IRE Irish Flag
T: David and B Hayes and T Dabernig    J: Dwayne Dunn

$61

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A Five year old Frankel gelding whose best form was good enough to run 2nd to Latrobe back in the Group 1 Irish Derby. Additionally as a three-year-old, Rostropovich managed to win the Group 3 Club Stakes back in Ireland. Rostropovich was also a well performed two-year-old, winning the Group 2 Futurity Stakes. However his Australian performances have been poor. He hasn’t placed in five Australian starts and appears to to be getting worse and worse. He did finish only 5 lengths from the winner in last year’s Melbourne Cup, but it’s hard to see him going anywhere near close in the 2019 Melbourne Cup. Appears to be making up the numbers. Read more

Twilight Payment Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Another Irish stayer from the Joseph O’Brien yard. Owned by the team Williams, Twilight Payment, a seasoned campaigner, has been a model of consistency throughout out his career with a record of 5 wins and 14 placings from 25 career starts. He is more than proven in stakes grade and handles all surfaces. Twilight Payment won the Listed Loughbrown Stakes (3200m) as a three-year-old so the distancre won’t be a problem. His four and five year old seasons appear similiar on paper. The horse placed in mutliple Group class races back in Europe but couldn’t quite cross the post first. However, as a six-year-old Twilight Payment put together consecutive victories for the first time in his career, first taking out the Levmoss Stakes and then the Group 2 Curragh Cup back in June, defeating Latrobe who also lines up in the Melbourne Cup. Read more

Finche Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Finche Silks 11. Finche (4) – 54kg GB British Flag
T: Chris Waller    J: Kerrin McEvoy

$10

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This six-year-old chestnut gelding has taken to Australian racing like a duck to water. The lightly-raced British import joined the Chris Waller yard at the beginning of the 2019 Spring and immediately impressed running 3rd in the Geelong Cup and 4th in last year’s Melbourne Cup. Read more

Prince Of Arran Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Prince Of Arran silks 12. Prince Of Arran (8) – 54kg GB  UK Flag
T: Charlie Fellowes    J: Michael Walker

$21

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After winning the Group 3 Geelong Cup in fine style, Prince Of Arran is all but certain to make the 2019 Melbourne Cup field, and represents great value at double figure odds. There is no doubt about it, this seven-year-old absolutely loves Australia. Read more

Raymond Tusk Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Raymond Tusk Silks 13. Raymond Tusk (3) – 54kg IRE Irish Flag
T: Richard Hannon    J: Jamie Spencer

$15

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The Melbourne Cup didn’t come onto Raymond’s Task radar until he placed a luckless 4th in the time-honoured Group 1 Ebor Handicap at York behind Mustajeer, who is solid in the Melbourne Cup market. Interestingly, his trainer Richard Hannon opted to miss the Caulfield Cup Melbourne Cup start and instead go straight into the two-mile race. Read more

Downdraft Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Downdraft Silks 14. Downdraft (15) – 53.5kg IRE Irish Flag
T: Joseph O’Brien    J: John Allen

$16

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Downdraft is a Irish five-year-old stayer who is trained by Joseph O’Brien. The son of Camelot is a conistent performer, evidenced by his 6 wins and 3 placings from 17 starts. He contested some top races in Europe during his three-year-old season but ultimately found that grade a bit strong. Read more

Magic Wand Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

15 Magic Wand (24) – 53.5kg IRE New Zealand Flag
T: Aidan O’Brien    J: Ryan Moore

$21

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Aidan O’Brien-trained stayer who finished runner-up in his last two overseas races which were both in Group 1 events. Concerningly, she hasn’t won a race in over 16 months and overall winning strike race is poor. before running a respectablr 4th in the Cox Plate. Read more

Neufbosc Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

16. Neufbosc (23) – 53.5kg FRA French Flag
T: David & B Hayes & T Dabernig    J: Luke Nolen

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This French gelding looked a real talented staying prospect at the time Lindsay Park purchased him, but unfortunately Neufbosc hasn’t fired a single shot in Australia, finishing down the track in all of his five starts here. Read more

Sound Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

17. Sound (10) – 53.5kg GER German Flag
T: Michael Moroney    J: James Winks

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Sound was purchased by Michael Moroney ahead of last year’s Spring carnival but he hasn’t won a race in Australia yet. His first few runs were very disappointing efforts but more recently he has been competitive in Group 1s, finishing 4th in the Tancred Stakes, 7th in the Turnbull Stakes and 10th in the Caulfield Cup beaten only 4 lengths. Read more

Surprise Baby Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Surprise Baby Silks 18. Surprise Baby (20) – 53.5kg NZ NZ Flag
T: Paul Preusker    J: Jordan Childs

$16

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Surprise Baby is the leading local hopes for the 2019 Melbourne Cup. Australian horses haven’t faired well recently in the race that stops the nation but Surprise Baby profiles as a very talented young stayer. Read more

Constantinople Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Constantinople Silks 19. Constantinople (7) – 52.5kg IRE Irish Flag
T: David & Ben Hayes and Tom Dabernig    J: Joao Moreira

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Constantinople quickly shot into 2019 Melbourne Cup favouritism after a slashing run in the Caulfield Cup despite having minimal luck. With a bit more luck and withj natrual improvement to come, he is arguably the one to beat. Read more

Constantinople Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

20. Il Paradiso (17) – 52.5kg USA USA Flag
T: Aidan O’Brien    J: Wayne Lordan

$14

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Lightly raced stayer who appears to have plenty of upside. Has won over 3200m before but Il Paradiso has never won a Group race and some of his fellow travelling companions appear to bring stronger form-lines. However a close look at this form shows he finished 1.3 lengths behind a champion stayer in Stradivarius in the Group 2 Lonsdale Cup. Clearly an improving type and is carrying no weight on his back. Read more

Steel Prince Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Steel Prince Silks 21. Steel Prince (16) – 52.kg IRE Irish Flag
T: Anthony Freedman    J: Brett Pebble

$67

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Steel Prince guranteed his spot in the 2019 Melbourne Cup after taking out the Listed Andrew Ramsden (2800m) earlier this year. This Irish-bred gelding has enjoyed an impressive run of form since making his debut in Australia back in June 2018. Read more

The Chosen One Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

The Chosen One Silks 22. The Chosen One (18) – 52kg NZ NZ Flag
T: Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman    J: Tim Clark

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The Chosen One shot into Melbourne Cup discussions after winning the Group 2 Herbert Power (2400m) recently. The horse then followed up that effort with a midfield finish in the Caulfield Cup where he was forced very wide on the track. Read more

Vow and Declare Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

Vow And Declare Silks 23. Vow And Declare (21) – 52kg AUS Australian Flag
T: Danny O’Brien    J: Craig Williams

$12

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A very promising Australian-trained and bred galloper. As a three-year-old Vow And Declare won multiple Listed events. He then tackled the Queensland Derby and placed 2nd, before easily consuqering the Group 3 Tatts Cup held over 3000m. Read more

Youngstar Melbourne Cup 2019 Horses

24. Youngstar (9) – 52kg AUS Australian Flag
T: Chris Waller    J: Tommy Berry

$51

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Youngstar was one of the leading Australian-bred hopes in last year’s Melbourne Cup. She more than held her own, finishing sixth, beaten less than six lengths by winner Cross Counter. Youngstar rose to prominence as a young, quality stayer after winning the Group 2 The Roses. Two weeks later, she narrowly won the Group 1 Queensland Oaks before finishing third in the Queensland Derby. Read more

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